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According to the latest CoreLogic Home Price Insights Report, nationwide home values increased by 8.2% over the last twelve months. The dramatic rise was brought about as the inventory of homes for sale reached historic lows at the same time buyer demand was buoyed by record-low mortgage rates. As CoreLogic explained:
“Home price growth remained consistently elevated throughout 2020. Home sales for the year are expected to register above 2019 levels. Meanwhile, the availability of for-sale homes has dwindled as demand increased and coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreaks continued across the country, which delayed some sellers from putting their homes on the market.
While the pandemic left many in positions of financial insecurity, those who maintained employment and income stability are also incentivized to buy given the record-low mortgage rates available; this is increasing buyer demand while for-sale inventory is in short supply.”
Where will home values go in 2021?
Home price appreciation in 2021 will continue to be determined by this imbalance of supply and demand. If supply remains low and demand is high, prices will continue to increase.
Housing Supply
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the current number of single-family homes for sale is 1,080,000. At the same time last year, that number stood at 1,450,000. We are entering 2021 with approximately 370,000 fewer homes for sale than there were one year ago.
However, there is some speculation that the inventory crush will ease somewhat as we move through the new year for two reasons:
1. As the health crisis eases, more homeowners will be comfortable putting their houses on the market.
2. Some households impacted financially by the pandemic will be forced to sell.
Housing Demand
Low mortgage rates have driven buyer demand over the last twelve months. According to Freddie Mac, rates stood at 3.72% at the beginning of 2020. Today, we’re starting 2021 with rates one full percentage point lower than that. Low rates create a great opportunity for homebuyers, which is one reason why demand is expected to remain high throughout the new year.
Taking into consideration these projections on housing supply and demand, real estate analysts forecast homes will continue to appreciate in 2021, but that appreciation may be at a steadier pace than last year. Here are their forecasts:
Bottom Line
There’s still a very limited number of homes for sale for the great number of purchasers looking to buy them. As a result, the concept of “supply and demand” mandates that home values in the country will continue to appreciate. Find out what your home is worth – click here.
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“If you were to ask any of Vikki’s clients I am sure they would tell you that Vikki is a pleasure to work with and one of the smartest Agents they have ever dealt with. Vikki’s calm and cool demeanor helps her be successful, especially as she continues to grow the commercial end of her Real Estate Business. A very well-known local figure, Vikki is certain to be at the top of the production charts for years to come. Congratulations Vikki! We are very proud to have you as part of our Agency.”
“I am proud to have reached the CAP at the Green Team for many reasons. The obvious and easy answer (perhaps the one we’re not supposed to mention) is the financial benefit of the program which allows agents to keep more of their hard-earned money. This benefit is thanks to Geoff Green (our tireless leader, excellent listener and trusted advisor) and the Green Team New York Realty administrative team (which seems to grow weekly)! Their support and assistance is essential in keeping so many moving parts together. I am fortunate to be part of such an incredible team.
“The year 2020 was a year like no other – both in the real estate industry and in life for most people. So much disruption, change and upheaval in our everyday lives and routines. It was a very good feeling to be able to be out there enduring all the necessary precautions and adjustments we all had to maintain and yet to be able to help sellers and buyers make the moves forward that they desired during this historic time. For many buyers, it was a life changing and very positive and productive move for their families. Being a key instrumental part of that process was so very meaningful to me as a Realtor as it was for so many others. I am always grateful for the opportunity to share my long-standing experience and knowledge of the Hudson Valley. Most importantly, the year 2020 was vivid proof of the ethics, professionalism, character, strength and resilience of so many Realtors. I feel blessed in the knowledge that I have “capped out” in 2020 and also to be a part of such a superb group of professionals for so many years